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The remnants of a cold front could leave enough energy behind over the western Atlantic to ignite tropical storm activity east of Florida. What are the chances of this system developing, and where could it go?

Florida has historically seen limited tropical impacts during July. Tropical Storm Elsa impacted the region in 2021 and Hurricane Dennis made landfall in 2005.

Florida's meteorological summer is at its halfway point. So far, the 2026 season has produced above-average warmth and varying amounts of precipitation.

Tropical Storm Bertha slowly drifts west-northwest across the northeastern Gulf of Mexico toward southeastern Louisiana. While strong wind shear is expected to limit rapid intensification, Bertha will bring prolonged tropical-storm-force winds, storm surge, and heavy rainfall to portions of the Florida Panhandle, the central Gulf Coast, and southern Louisiana through midweek.

Although a trough will be around the Peninsula, there will also be an influx of Saharan dust into the state, but it will stay mainly across South and Central Florida.

According to its August outlook, Colorado State University expects nine named storms, four hurricanes and one major hurricane to form in 2026.

The National Hurricane Center is monitoring three areas of disturbed weather across the Atlantic basin, but none pose a direct threat to Florida.

Many students will head back to school on Monday under hot and humid conditions across Florida. August 10 marks the first day of the 2026-27 school year.

East winds bring moisture to the Peninsula, with inland thunderstorms, while southerly winds send Panhandle temperatures soaring.

A stationary front and deep moisture in the atmosphere will bring several days of heavy showers and thunderstorms, keeping the threat of flash floods across the northern half of Florida this week.