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Yes, record heat is forecast across Florida, but storms may also affect parts of the state as the ground remains very dry.
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Although a trough will be around the Peninsula, there will also be an influx of Saharan dust into the state, but it will stay mainly across South and Central Florida.
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Florida has one of the highest rates of air conditioning, with 99.5% of households reporting having access to cooling.
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The Peninsula had drier-than-usual conditions as Bertha was west of the state. The wind also left less hot afternoons across the western portion of the Peninsula, but as we wave goodbye to Bertha, rain and heat return to Florida. Let's look at this week's forecast.
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Tropical Storm Bertha slowly drifts west-northwest across the northeastern Gulf of Mexico toward southeastern Louisiana. While strong wind shear is expected to limit rapid intensification, Bertha will bring prolonged tropical-storm-force winds, storm surge, and heavy rainfall to portions of the Florida Panhandle, the central Gulf Coast, and southern Louisiana through midweek.
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Tropical Depression 2 is set to become Tropical Storm Bertha as it travels mainly due west during the next few days. Gulf waters are warm and could strengthen this system if it stays well away from the Gulf Coast.
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Rounds of heavy rain will impact parts of Central and North Florida due to a potential tropical system. Mixed signals on where it could go and intensity.
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Florida's meteorological summer is at its halfway point. So far, the 2026 season has produced above-average warmth and varying amounts of precipitation.
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An area of low pressure could develop near Florida within the next 7 days. Could it impact Florida?
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While the Panhandle and North Florida will continue to have rain and storms, elevating the flash flood risk, South Florida will remain mostly dry and with dangerous heat.
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Florida citrus production finished the 2025-26 season slightly above initial forecasts. Despite the output, production remains near historic lows.
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Saharan dust is in place, and a high pressure will continue to bring dangerous heat across much of Florida throughout the weekend.